USMNT vs. El Salvador prediction, odds, start time: Concacaf Nations League picks, bets for March 27, 2023

The U.S. Men’s National Team finally found some goals, and they’ll look for more Monday when they face El Salvador in their final Concacaf Nations League group stage match. The offensive outburst in a 7-1 victory against Grenada on Friday put the Americans in the driver’s seat heading into the final group stage match. The winner advances to the final four, and the USA aim to defend their title. They beat Mexico 3-2 in extra time in the final of the inaugural Concacaf Nations League in the summer of 2021. The Americans are expecting a tougher Nations League test against the Salvadorans, who played them to a 1-1 draw last June.

Kickoff at Exploria Stadium in Orlando is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the USMNT as -675 favorites (risk $675 to win $100) in its latest USMNT vs. El Salvador odds. El Salvador are +1750 underdogs, a draw is priced at +550 and the over/under for total match goals is 3.5. Before making any El Salvador vs. USMNT picks or Concacaf Nations League predictions, make sure you check out what SportsLine soccer insider Brandt Sutton has to say.

Sutton, a former collegiate soccer player, has been SportsLine’s top soccer editor for nearly five years. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most-informed decisions possible, keeping his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Sutton is on a stunning 12-2 run on his 2022-23 Champions League picks so far, bringing a profit of $1,100 for $100 bettors. He also finished 2022 as SportsLine’s top soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark, returning nearly $2,200 for $100 players.

Now, Sutton has turned his attention to the USA vs. El Salvador matchup. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for USMNT vs. El Salvador:

  • USA vs. El Salvador spread: USMNT -2.5 (+130)
  • USA vs. El Salvador over/under: 3.5 goals
  • USA vs. El Salvador money line: USMNT -675, El Salvador +1750, Draw +550
  • USA: The Americans have scored more than one goal seven times in their past 19 matches.
  • El Salvador: They have been outscored 14-11 in their past 10 competitive games.
  • USA vs. El Salvador picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the USMNT

The Americans should be much more in tune, as El Salvador haven’t played a competitive match since the last meeting. They have lost three friendly matchups since then, by a combined score of 6-1. The Americans, meanwhile, reached the Round of 16 at the World Cup last summer. They also come in with a ton of confidence after the dominant performance Friday. Christian Pulisic led an impressive offensive effort, assisting on two goals and scoring one of his own.

Ricardo Pepi and Weston McKennie each had two goals, with both of McKennie’s coming on free kicks. Brendan Aaronson and Alejandro Zendejas also scored, and Gio Reyna was right in the middle of the action all night. Injuries have left El Salvador with only two midfielders/forwards with more than 30 caps. Only four have scored an international goal, and none have more than three. The USMNT are 20-6-0 in all matches with El Salvador, with a 61-12 goal advantage.

Why you should back El Salvador

The Salvadorans have managed two draws in the past three meetings, with the USMNT scoring just twice over that span. The Americans needed a goal late in injury time to forge the draw last June after Alexander Larin scored in the first half. Larin is one of several players out injured, as is Nelson Bonilla, who scored twice in a 3-1 victory against Grenada last summer. El Salvador could rely on Cristian Gil and brothers Brayan Gil and Mayer Gil, who are all capable attackers.

Cristian Gil, 26, has 13 goals in his 55 games in the Salvadoran Primera Division and has two in 11 with the national team. He scored in the 2-2 draw with Grenada in the Nations League opener. Brayan Gil, 21, has 10 goals in his past 45 matches in Colombia’s Primera A, and Mayer Gil, 19, has two in three matches in that league this season. Alex Roldan, who plays with the Seattle Sounders, can cause trouble with his crosses and had two assists in his most recent MLS match.